The election of Barack Obama, the first African American, to be elected president of the United States, was an emotional event for many, especially for the “people of color” and descendents of former slaves. I too found it quite emotional. I can remember well the racial fights in my high school and the tumultuous racial tensions of the 1960’s and 1970’s. To see a nation rise above its prejudices and foibles is really something. Seeing the joyous tears on the faces of some of the black Americans at Obama’s rally and hearing the emotion in the voices of the various African American television commentators was very moving to me. I can only imagine what it must be like to be a minority set apart by skin color and to see enough Americans rallying behind a black man to elect him president. I do feel proud at this American achievement. For in how many nations of the world could a minority person arise to an elected presidency?
I do think the election of an African American is a paradigm shift for our nation – at least in terms of racism. I don’t believe it has reshaped the politic views of many, but it has brought into the political process more voices and votes. I think the result will be that more African Americans are likely to become flag waving Americans, and I think their views will diversify and both political parties will gain new supporters, and both parties will rethink their relationship to minorities.
I think the claims of redrawing the political map in America are a bit overstated. It is true that Obama won an electoral college landslide. But in the actual voting population, there was not the dramatic shift in numbers that one might have expected in a year when the incumbent president is so totally unpopular. Bush’s approval ratings are as low as any president has ever received – around 22%, which means even many Republicans are displeased with him.
The actually voting numbers however tell a slightly different story. Barack Obama received 52% of the votes cast (63 million) while McCain received 46% of the votes (56 million). In 2004, Bush beat Kerry 51% to 48%. So really we are talking a shift in maybe 5% of the voters. More people voted in 2004 than are currently being shown to have voted in 2008. So discussions of bringing many new voters into the process have to be weighed against the fact that less people bothered to vote. Bush beat Kerry in 2004 62 million to 59 million. Obama gained about 3 million votes (a sizable number, but not a great percentage change) over Kerry, but McCain got almost 6 million votes less than Bush got in 2004 (a significant loss in numbers).
What that would tell me is that there was not a great mandate for Obama, though his win was impressive. One could just as easily make the case that McCain simply didn’t excite the Republican voters enough, or the negative impact of Bush on McCain kept voters away from supporting the Arizona Senator. As the Democrats take control of the white house, they will need to exercise some great self restraint and wisdom in their first 100 days, and not interpret the election results as a demand for extreme Democratic ideology. To go for the extreme will be for them to learn how little the voters have really changed, and they will pay the price in the mid-term elections. We will see how far sighted Obama will be as President. Americans wanted change, but a change from Bush, not necessarily an embrace of the Democratic extremist left ideas.
For Republicans the risk will be that they will interpret McCain’s defeat as a repudiation of centrist policy rather than a rejection of the failed policies of Bush and will retreat further to the right thinking that is what Americans want from them. (As an Orthodox Christian, I would advise the Republicans to consider Orthodox spirituality. When a time of disaster strikes – natural or human made – Orthodox prayers tend not to blame their enemies or the natural forces, but rather to look at themselves and their own sins as the cause of the problem and to call for repentance and internal change. Rather than blaming Obama, the liberals, the economy or some extraneous force, this year would be a good time for Republicans to look at their own faults, their own policies and leadership choices, and to work on change from within for that is one factor which is really under their control).
The relative small change in American voters shifting away from the Republicans over to the Democrats is indicative of how centrist Americans really are. Despite the overwhelming disapproval of President Bush (78%), there was a relatively small percentage change in which party the voters supported for the Presidency. What to me was more obvious is that Karl Rove didn’t really change a big percentage of American voters from supporting the Democratic to supporting the Republican party in 2000 and 2004. Rather he stitched together an electoral majority – carefully crafting which states to win in order to come up with the electoral majority. The Obama campaign didn’t completely alter the political identification of Americans as some pundits would have us believe. They did however put together a very effective campaign which swamped the Electoral College numbers by bringing about a relatively small percentage change in which party the voters were willing to select their candidate; that small change in voting numbers translated into huge change in the electoral voting.
That being said, I still think what America was willing to do – elect a black man as President – does reflect America’s ability to creatively change in order to renew itself. And I think this will have a positive change on U. S. politics as both parties begin to see minorities and people of color as mainstream Americans.







